SAP: Exaggerated response

Purpose

SAP is one of the world's leading providers of business software solutions that organize various processes within companies and across company boundaries. The portfolio includes business applications for large and medium-sized companies as well as standard solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises. In addition, SAP supports core processes in the retail, finance, high-tech, healthcare and public administration sectors with industry-specific solutions. The Group's flagship product is the SAP Business Suite, which can be tailored precisely to the respective ...

SAP is one of the world's leading providers of business software solutions that organize various processes within companies and across company boundaries. The portfolio includes business applications for large and medium-sized companies as well as standard solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises. In addition, SAP supports core processes in the retail, finance, high-tech, healthcare and public administration sectors with industry-specific solutions. The Group's flagship product is the SAP Business Suite, which can be tailored precisely to the respective requirements and business objectives. This application is based on the HANA database technology developed by SAP, in which data is no longer stored on the hard disk but in the main memory and is therefore available more quickly. SAP's competitors include Adobe, BMC Software, Bechtle, HP, IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, PSI Software, SUSE, Salesforce and Software AG.

www.sap.com

Analysis

We have been following SAP's latest financial figures closely and have to conclude that the market reaction appears to be clearly exaggerated. The German software manufacturer has lost more than 37% of its value in recent months, which is hardly understandable given the results presented and current market conditions. The share price slide is largely due to concerns over declining sales during the cloud transition - a process in which SAP is clearly facing some challenges at the moment. Nevertheless, our analysis shows that the company maintains a solid base in terms ...

We have been following SAP's latest financial figures closely and have to conclude that the market reaction appears to be clearly exaggerated. The German software manufacturer has lost more than 37% of its value in recent months, which is hardly understandable given the results presented and current market conditions. The share price slide is largely due to concerns over declining sales during the cloud transition - a process in which SAP is clearly facing some challenges at the moment. Nevertheless, our analysis shows that the company maintains a solid base in terms of dividends, earnings and sales growth.

In line with Elliott Wave Theory, the current situation could represent an interesting entry level for investors.

Conclusion

  1. We anticipate a possible further correction, which could possibly push the share price below EUR 80.
  2. In the long term, we expect the share price to stabilize between EUR 154 and 168.
  3. The company's fundamental key figures remain strong, which offers a positive outlook.

SAP

  • VALOR 345952
  • ISIN DE0007164600
  • Author Oliver Dolezel
  • Date 03.11.20
Chance Risk Ratio
85%
Investment horizon
2–3 Jahre
Portfolio weighting
10%

Analysis Performance

Goal 1
154 EUR
Performance
+64%
reached
24.01.24
Goal 2
168 EUR
Performance
+79%
reached
07.02.24

Performance since initial analysis

03.11.20

%


Analysis Rating

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